Black Swan Orange
We explore strategies, skills and tools that help to: achieve a state of personal readiness for the unknown; face and potentially engage with an unpredictable event or situation beyond what’s typically expected; and mitigate potentially severe consequences.
Black Swan Orange
Black Swan Event "Cygnets" and How to Find Them
We discuss "Black Swan Event Cygnets" and how to create your own BSO Cygnet Watch List. In nature, a "cygnet" is a swan hatchling. The term Black Swan Cygnet is a good name for a Black Swan Event hatchling, a potential Black Swan Event in the making. Cygnet here seems appropos because it sounds a bit like “signal,” and that’s a good way to think of it.
Monitoring such cygnets can be very useful for the same reasons meteorologists monitor a tropical depression or tropical storm forming in the Eastern Atlantic Ocean — which has some probability of developing into a dangerous hurricane, like the recent Hurricane Hilary.